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Tuberculosis Elimination Forecast for Moscow Region

https://doi.org/10.58838/2075-1230-2024-102-4-14-18

Abstract

The objective: to assess the possibility of tuberculosis elimination in Moscow Region by 2035.

Subjects and Methods. For the study, Federal Statistical Surveillance Form No. 8 Information on Active Tuberculosis cases, and Form No. 33 Information on Tuberculosis Patients for 015-2023 were selected, rates were calculated for the average annual population in the region. Changes in tuberculosis incidence in Moscow Region were analyzed.

Results. Based on results of the study on possibility to eliminate tuberculosis in Moscow Region by 2035, it has been found that if the current epidemic situation persists, it is only possible to achieve the mortality target. To achieve the target results for other rates, additional measures to prevent tuberculosis among the population are needed.

About the Authors

L. S. Untanova
Moscow Regional Clinical TB Dispensary; M.F. Vladimirsky Moscow Regional Research Clinical Institute
Russian Federation

Larisa S. Untanova, Head of Statistics and Reporting  Department, Assistant of Phthisiology Department

11 Bd. 1 Borby Sq., Moscow, 127030
Phone: +7 (496) 588-41-29



E. G. Frolov
Moscow Regional Clinical TB Dispensary; M.F. Vladimirsky Moscow Regional Research Clinical Institute
Russian Federation

Evgeniy G. Frolov, Deputy Head Physician for Reporting and Statistics, Assistant of Phthisiology Department

11 Bd. 1 Borby Sq., Moscow, 127030
Phone: +7 (496) 588-41-29



A. F. Kravchenko
Moscow Regional Clinical TB Dispensary; M.F. Vladimirsky Moscow Regional Research Clinical Institute
Russian Federation

Aleksandr F. Kravchenko, Doctor of Medical Sciences, Physician of Statistics and Reporting Department, Professor of Phthisiology Department

11 Bd. 1 Borby Sq., Moscow, 127030
Phone: +7 (496) 588-41-29



V. I. Panasyuk
Moscow Regional Clinical TB Dispensary
Russian Federation

Vera I. Panasyuk, Physician of Statistics and Reporting Department

11 Bd. 1 Borby Sq., Moscow, 127030
Phone: +7 (496) 588-41-29



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Review

For citations:


Untanova L.S., Frolov E.G., Kravchenko A.F., Panasyuk V.I. Tuberculosis Elimination Forecast for Moscow Region. Tuberculosis and Lung Diseases. 2024;102(4):14-18. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.58838/2075-1230-2024-102-4-14-18

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ISSN 2075-1230 (Print)
ISSN 2542-1506 (Online)