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Tuberculosis Infection Risk Areas in a Big Urban Center: Boundaries, Objects, Parameters, and Models

https://doi.org/10.58838/2075-1230-2024-102-5-30-39

Abstract

The objective: to build up models for the areas of infectious risk of tuberculosis spread in a big urban center, to evaluate the presence of objects and parameters influencing the probability of development of tuberculosis infection nudi.

Subjects and Methods. A retrospective and prospective study was conducted from January 2021 to June 2022 in St. Petersburg TB Dispensary no. 5. The study was performed taking into account the results of field surveys, with subsequent processing of materials for the territory of Kalininskiy and Krasnogvardeyskiy Administrative Districts of St. Petersburg.

Results. According to the multivariate analysis of certain parameters, it was found that adult population density was a statistically significant factor influencing the type of tuberculosis infection risk areas (aOR=1.0002; p=0.0002). The role of educational facilities density (aOR=0.9932; p=0.9), and detected cases of latent tuberculous infection (aOR=1.0837; p=0.6), was statistically insignificant.

About the Authors

I. A. Bozhkov
Center for Health Development Programs and Projects ; I.I. Mechnikov North-Western State Medical University, Russian Ministry of Health ; Pavlov First St. Petersburg State Medical University, Russian Ministry of Health ; St. Petersburg State Pediatric Medical University, Russian Ministry of Health
Russian Federation

Igor A. Bozhkov, Doctor of Medical Sciences, Professor of Department of Medical Rehabilitation and Sports Medicine, Head of Steering Board, Professor of Family Medicine Department; Professor of Department of General Medical Practice (Family Medicine)

2 Litovskaya St., St. Petersburg, 194100 Phone: +7 (812) 295-06-46



M. A. Sevastyanov
St. Petersburg State Pediatric Medical University, Russian Ministry of Health ; Nursing Home for the Elderly and Disabled no. 1
Russian Federation

Mikhail A. Sevastyanov, Doctor of Medical Sciences, Professor of Department of Medical Rehabilitation and Sports Medicine, Director

2 Litovskaya St., St. Petersburg, 194100 Phone: +7 (812) 295-06-46



I. Yu. Silidi
Kalininskiy District Administration
Russian Federation

Ilya Yu. Silidi, Head of Health Department

13/1 Arsenalnaya Nab., St. Petersburg, 195009, Phone: +7 (812) 576-99-03 



N. V. Korneva
I.I. Mechnikov North-Western State Medical University, Russian Ministry of Health ; St. Petersburg State Pediatric Medical University, Russian Ministry of Health
Russian Federation

Natalya V. Korneva, Candidate of Medical Sciences, Associate Professor of Department of Medical Rehabilitation and Sports Medicine, Assistant of Phthisiopulmonology and Thoracic Surgery Department

2 Litovskaya St., St. Petersburg, 194100 Phone: +7 (812) 295-06-46



S. A. Sterlikov
Russian Research Institute of Health, Russian Ministry of Health ; National Medical Research Center of Phthisiopulmonology and Infectious Diseases, Russian Ministry of Health
Russian Federation

Sergey A. Sterlikov, Doctor of Medical Sciences, Chief Researcher, Head of Department for Tuberculosis and HIV Epidemiology and Monitoring

11 Dobrolyubova St., Moscow, 127254 Phone: +7 (495) 618-31-83 



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Review

For citations:


Bozhkov I.A., Sevastyanov M.A., Silidi I.Yu., Korneva N.V., Sterlikov S.A. Tuberculosis Infection Risk Areas in a Big Urban Center: Boundaries, Objects, Parameters, and Models. Tuberculosis and Lung Diseases. 2024;102(5):30-39. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.58838/2075-1230-2024-102-5-30-39

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ISSN 2075-1230 (Print)
ISSN 2542-1506 (Online)